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1818 E. Southern Ave, Suite 15C
Mesa, AZ  85204
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March 18, 2025 – Can Tariffs Lower Interest Rates?

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Economic Commentary Thus far, we have just heard about the fact that the implementation of tariffs will increase prices.  Another term for higher prices is the dreaded word inflation. And we all know what increased inflation brings to the table – higher interest rates.  Gulp.  The Federal Reserve is much less likely to lower interest rates in light of increased...” Read More

Posted by starwest

March 11, 2025 – Will Government Layoffs Affect the Job Market?

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Economic Commentary The Administration has put their plans in place to eliminate tens of thousands of Federal employees. As the February jobs report was just released last week, we must start to ponder if these layoffs will affect the overall jobs market.  If the private sector is strong enough, those unemployed could be absorbed into corporate positions. On the other...” Read More

Posted by starwest

March 4, 2025 – Interesting Employment Data on Tap

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Economic Commentary Yes, the jobs report is always an important piece of economic data.  But sometimes one particular report can be especially significant in the overall scheme of things.  So, why would February’s report to be released this Friday have a higher level of consequence as opposed to the previous two reports? There are two reasons for highlighting this specific...” Read More

Posted by starwest

February 25, 2025 – The Fate of the CFPB

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Economic Commentary The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau was created by the Dodd-Frank Act in the wake of the financial crisis which spawned the Great Recession of 2008. Unlike the pandemic-induced recession of 2020, the recovery of the economy from the Great Recession was long and painful, especially within the real estate industry which is this commentary’s main focus. Housing prices...” Read More

Posted by starwest

February 18, 2025 – Getting Used to Higher Rates

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Economic Commentary There is no doubt about the fact that higher interest rates are putting a cap on potential growth in the real estate market.  Together with high housing prices, affordability has certainly been a major factor within the sector for a few years now. While you can understand market analysts and participants in the industry rooting for interest rates...” Read More

Posted by starwest

February 11, 2025 – A Big Ho-Hum?

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Economic Commentary By all rights, we should have seen extreme market volatility during the past several weeks.  After all, we have a new President implementing many new initiatives – from back to the office for federal employees to a constant threat of tariffs toward various countries.  Yet, the stock and bond markets have been relatively quiet during this implementation period. ...” Read More

Posted by starwest

February 4, 2025 – 2025’s First Big Data and Event

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Economic Commentary The economic new year is now rolling along.  While the markets await the anticipated results of the new Administration’s policies, the economy does not wait for anyone.  Last week was the first big economic event of the year – a meeting of the Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee.  Most were predicting a pause by the Fed after lowering...” Read More

Posted by starwest

January 28, 2025 – Good News is Bad News Revisited

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Economic Commentary So, we added over two million jobs last year. That is good news, right? As we have been saying for a few years now, good economic news has now become bad news.  How did more jobs for Americans become a bad thing?  When the unemployment rate is low, consumers have more money to spend, and this boosts the...” Read More

Posted by starwest

January 21, 2025 – 2024 Redux?

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Economic Commentary If you read all the predictions for 2025, it seems as if we are expecting 2024 to happen all over again. Interest rates are supposed to go down, but they are likely to move slowly. The economy is supposed to slow down, but it is continuing to hold on in growth mode.  Real estate inventory is supposed to...” Read More

Posted by starwest

January 14, 2025 – The 2024 Jobs Picture

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Economic Commentary On Friday, we had the last jobs report for 2024 with the release of December’s data.  Though there will be revisions to the last two months of data, we now have a pretty good picture of how strong the job market was last year.  Let’s start with December’s numbers.  We added 256,000 jobs in December and the unemployment...” Read More

Posted by starwest

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