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December 16, 2025 – The Fed Speaks and The Predictions Keep Rolling

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Economic Commentary The Federal Reserve met for the last time in 2025 last week and the result was a decrease in their benchmark interest rate of 0.25%.  Overall, the decision was not surprising despite the lack of recent data the Fed could rely upon. As expected, they relied upon secondary reports such as flagging consumer confidence and the private payroll...” Read More

Posted by starwest

December 9, 2025 – Bad Timing

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Economic Commentary For the past several weeks we have been touting the fact that the Federal Reserve will have an avalanche of data to consider when they meet in December. Well, the December meeting starts today and certainly there is a whole bunch of data to consider.  However, the most important data indicating the direction of the economy right now...” Read More

Posted by starwest

December 2, 2025 – The Scoreboard

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Economic Commentary The government shutdown caused a major back-up of government data, and we are in the midst of seeing the spigot of data being released. This is very timely because the Federal Reserve is scheduled to meet one week from today and, unlike their last meeting, they are likely to have some, but not all the data they need...” Read More

Posted by starwest

November 25, 2025 – Giving Thanks

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Economic Commentary It certainly has been a very tumultuous year for the real estate sector. And as we approach the Thanksgiving holiday, it makes sense for us all to take a breather and give thanks for the good things in our lives.  The first thing we would like to give thanks for is the end of the federal government shutdown....” Read More

Posted by starwest

November 18, 2025 – The Spreads Are Narrowing

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Economic Commentary With all the talk of a rate cut in December, we harken back to a statement made by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell in a speech to the National Association of Business Economics in mid-October. In that speech the issue of ending quantitative tightening was on the horizon. As a reminder, in addition to setting very short-term interest rates,...” Read More

Posted by starwest

November 11, 2025 – Happy Veterans Day

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Economic Commentary With all the chaos surrounding the government in the past several weeks, we would be remiss in not remembering a holiday that honors a key part of our government’s service to Americans. That is the veterans of our armed forces. Our veterans have protected our country from its inception in war time and in peace time. Our veterans...” Read More

Posted by starwest

November 4, 2025 – The Fed Speaks While The Government Sleeps

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Economic Commentary Every time the Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee meets, it is a big event for the markets. This time around, the meeting carried extra significance for a few reasons. First, the delay of most economic reports due to the government shutdown meant that there was not only a dearth of data for the Fed to rely upon, but...” Read More

Posted by starwest

October 28, 2025 – The Fed Meeting

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Economic Commentary The Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee meets today and tomorrow, and a major topic of discussion will be the economy and whether to lower interest rates. As we discussed this week, the Fed is meeting with a substantial lack of data due to the government shutdown. There are a few reports still being issued, typically by private sources....” Read More

Posted by starwest

October 22, 2025 – A Non-Scheduled Pause…

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Economic Commentary The government shutdown has now run for three straight weeks. The shutdown has caused a host of disruptions across America – from shortages of personnel at certain airports causing flight delays to the expiration of Federal Flood Insurance needed to close mortgages for real estate transactions. Of course, no sector is suffering more than the government workers who...” Read More

Posted by starwest

October 14, 2025 – The More Things Change…

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Economic Commentary The more they stay the same.  New Administration. New Congress. But the deadline for a funding bill to keep the government open goes down to the last second. And for the first time in five years, they did not kick the can down the road.  Instead, both sides walked away from the table. Apparently, they will need to...” Read More

Posted by starwest

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