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September 30, 2025 – This is Getting Serious

Economic Commentary We started the year off with a strong, but slowing economy. In 2024 the Gross Domestic Product showed a growth rate of approximately 2.5%, which was a decent showing. Though with higher interest rates and the pandemic recovery behind us, it makes sense that the economy would slow a bit from here. What we were not expecting was...” Read More

Posted by starwest

September 23, 2025 – The Fed Has Spoken

Economic Commentary Finally. After months of back and forth and speculation, the Federal Reserve has lowered its benchmark rate by 0.25%. While the August job numbers combined with the substantial downward revisions of jobs added during the past year pretty well clinched the fact that the Fed was likely to lower rates, there was still a decent amount of speculation...” Read More

Posted by starwest

September 16, 2025 – And The Three Questions Are?

Economic Commentary The Federal Reserve Board’s Open Market Committee is meeting this week. Their meeting takes place one week after the most recent inflation report was released showing that consumer prices continue to rise higher than the Fed’s targets, as expected. This report only served to increase speculation regarding what the Fed might do. This leads to the first most...” Read More

Posted by starwest

September 9, 2025 – What This Jobs Report Tells

Economic Commentary July’s employment report had such a large revision of the previous two months of data, it is no wonder that the markets were anxiously waiting for the August figures in order to get a more complete picture of our workforce situation. It is one thing to see a month or two of concerning data. It is quite another...” Read More

Posted by starwest

September 2, 2025 – Summer is Over?

Economic Commentary We know we had a summer because we are still sweating from the hot and steamy weather we had on the east coast this year. But it certainly seems like summer has come and gone very quickly this year. Yes, we know that fall does not arrive until the latter part of September, but mentally summer is over...” Read More

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August 26, 2025 – The Threat of Stagflation

Economic Commentary Judging by the jobs numbers for the past three months, the markets are calling for a rate decrease by the Federal Reserve at their next meeting in the middle of next month. Certainly, long-term rates have been falling as a reaction to the weakening job situation and in anticipation of the Fed’s next move. When the economy adds...” Read More

Posted by starwest

August 20, 2025 – Shooting The Messenger

Economic Commentary One week after discussing the importance of the Chairman of the Federal Reserve’s tenuous position, the economy received somewhat of an “aftershock.” Rarely do we use the word aftershock when discussing the economy. It is quite often that we are subjected to economic shocks, many of which are surprises such as natural disasters, pandemics and more. But aftershocks...” Read More

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August 12, 2025 – Does It Matter?

Economic Commentary This week the markets are still digesting the plethora of economic events which occurred during the last week of July and August first. However, there is no time to catch our breath as a new month of data starts this week with readings on inflation. We have had some good inflation readings during the first part of the...” Read More

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August 5, 2025 – The Fed Speaks, The Economy Awakens

Economic Commentary The economic trifecta has come and gone. Though the markets are likely to continue to react to the news, we are here to report the results of our three big economic events. First the government released the initial measure of economic growth for the second quarter of the year. The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is estimated to have...” Read More

Posted by starwest

July 29, 2025 – The Trifecta Hits as the Month Comes to a Close

Economic Commentary Every month we have important economic data releases and events. But only a few times per year do we have the most important releases lined up during the same week. Our definition of a trifecta is a week in which we have the first reading of economic growth for a quarter (Second Quarter GDP), a meeting of the...” Read More

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