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1818 E. Southern Ave, Suite 15C
Mesa, AZ  85204
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March 21, 2023 – Did the first two months of this year’s data enable the Fed to grant itself an extension regarding raising short-term interest rates?

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Economic Commentary Did The Fed Get an Extension? The Federal Reserve Board meets today, and the big question is – did the first two months of this year’s data enable the Fed to grant itself an extension regarding raising short-term interest rates? To answer this question, let’s review the two most important pieces of data. First, the economy created approximately...” Read More

Posted by starwest

March 14, 2023 – Still No Answer. Almost one quarter of the year is finished, and we still do not have an answer.

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Economic Commentary Still No Answer. Almost one quarter of the year is finished, and we still do not have an answer. By now we were supposed to be experiencing the start of a “mild” recession. Yet interest rates have risen since early February because the economy is too hot, threatening our progress on the war against inflation. Kind of confusing...” Read More

Posted by starwest

February 28, 2023 – Due For Another Surprise?There is no doubt that the jobs report was a major shocker at the beginning of this month.

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Economic Commentary Due For Another Surprise? There is no doubt that the jobs report was a major shocker at the beginning of this month. We actually thought that we were about to slip into recession, but there is no evidence that the job market is slipping at all. Here is a basic concept—you can’t have a recession when the economy...” Read More

Posted by starwest

February 21, 2023 – The State of Housing. If there is any industry that is more cyclical than the housing industry, we would be surprised to hear about it.

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Economic Commentary The State of Housing. If there is any industry that is more cyclical than the housing industry, we would be surprised to hear about it. The housing industry is subject to multiple cycles, including seasonal cycles, economic cycles, and interest rate cycles. There are even demographic cycles caused by immigration and generations like the baby boomers and more...” Read More

Posted by starwest

February 14, 2023 – Advanced Nomenclature For Valentine’s Day. First, it was predicted that the economy would experience a “slow-down.”

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Economic Commentary Advanced Nomenclature For Valentine’s Day. Today is Valentine’s Day. Do not forget to say and do something special for your loved one(s). There are so many names of our spouses and other close relationships. Significant other, partners, girl/boyfriend, fiancé, husband, wife, better-half, consort, companion, sweetheart, loved one and more. With so many to choose from, we should not...” Read More

Posted by starwest

February 7, 2023 – The period from the end of January through the beginning of February was jammed packed with data and events which will help shape 2023 from an economic standpoint.

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Economic Commentary So How Did We Make Out? The period from the end of January through the beginning of February was jammed packed with data and events which will help shape 2023 from an economic standpoint. Now the data is in the books at we can look back. First we had the first measure of economic growth for the last...” Read More

Posted by starwest

January 24, 2023 – Here Comes The Fed – Deja Vu? For the first time in 2023, the Federal Reserve Board will be meeting next week.

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Economic Commentary Here Comes The Fed — Deja Vu? For the first time in 2023, the Federal Reserve Board will be meeting next week, and chances are we will see another increase in short-term rates. We ended last year with the Fed raising rates by a smaller margin compared to their previous meetings. Will the Fed make this move a trend?...” Read More

Posted by starwest

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