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February 11, 2025 – A Big Ho-Hum?

Economic Commentary By all rights, we should have seen extreme market volatility during the past several weeks. After all, we have a new President implementing many new initiatives – from back to the office for federal employees to a constant threat of tariffs toward various countries. Yet, the stock and bond markets have been relatively quiet during this implementation period. ...” Read More

Posted by starwest

February 4, 2025 – 2025’s First Big Data and Event

Economic Commentary The economic new year is now rolling along. While the markets await the anticipated results of the new Administration’s policies, the economy does not wait for anyone. Last week was the first big economic event of the year – a meeting of the Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee. Most were predicting a pause by the Fed after lowering...” Read More

Posted by starwest

January 28, 2025 – Good News is Bad News Revisited

Economic Commentary So, we added over two million jobs last year. That is good news, right? As we have been saying for a few years now, good economic news has now become bad news. How did more jobs for Americans become a bad thing? When the unemployment rate is low, consumers have more money to spend, and this boosts the...” Read More

Posted by starwest

January 21, 2025 – 2024 Redux?

Economic Commentary If you read all the predictions for 2025, it seems as if we are expecting 2024 to happen all over again. Interest rates are supposed to go down, but they are likely to move slowly. The economy is supposed to slow down, but it is continuing to hold on in growth mode. Real estate inventory is supposed to...” Read More

Posted by starwest

January 14, 2025 – The 2024 Jobs Picture

Economic Commentary On Friday, we had the last jobs report for 2024 with the release of December’s data. Though there will be revisions to the last two months of data, we now have a pretty good picture of how strong the job market was last year. Let’s start with December’s numbers. We added 256,000 jobs in December and the unemployment...” Read More

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January 7, 2025 – What’s With The Fed?

Economic Commentary A lot of interest rate watchers were very confused late last year. As was expected, in their last meeting of the year, the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee lowered rates for the third time in 2024. But interest rates such as mortgages reacted instantly by increasing. How can that be? Doesn’t the Fed control interest rates? Not as...” Read More

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December 31, 2024 – Happy New Year Predictions!

Economic Commentary We hope you all are having a great holiday season. With the new year we are always looking to bring the latest predictions concerning the real estate market and the general economy. Of course, this also comes with our annual warning – predictions are futile (adapted from Star Trek). No one can predict the future – but the...” Read More

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December 17, 2024 – The Last Fed Meeting

Economic Commentary No, the Federal Reserve is not being disbanded. But it is the last meeting of the Federal Reserve for the year – barring some sort of emergency which takes place in the next two weeks. The Fed has a lot to consider for this meeting. Two weeks ago, we had a strong jobs report, which indicated that the...” Read More

Posted by starwest

December 10, 2024 – The Picture Sharpens

Economic Commentary Last week we had the final published jobs report for the year. November’s report came in with a gain of 227,000 jobs. Because of the incomplete numbers of the previous month, the revision of October’s numbers was also an important area of focus. Originally reported at 12,000, October’s jobs gains were revised upward by 24,000. In addition, September...” Read More

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December 3, 2024 – A Better Picture

Economic Commentary We have had so many months of jobs gains that the monthly employment report has held little intrigue lately. As a matter of fact, the ancillary numbers such as wage inflation have garnered more attention than the number of jobs gained in some circles. For at least one month, this is no longer the case. In October, the...” Read More

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