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April 8, 2025 – Uncertainty

Economic Commentary When it comes to economic performance, the term uncertainty is a dirty word. The financial markets do not like uncertainty. The consumer does not like uncertainty. Yet, we are hearing that word over and over again. The Federal Reserve is uncertain of how tariffs will affect inflation. The markets are uncertain about which tariffs will be implemented; hence...” Read More

Posted by starwest

April 1, 2025 – April Fools

Economic Commentary A few weeks ago, we wrote that there did not seem to be a major market reaction to the new policies of the Administration. But as time has gone on and more tariffs have been implemented — and even more scheduled, the stock market has reacted significantly with increased volatility – mostly on the downside. There has also...” Read More

Posted by starwest

March 25, 2025 – Wait and See Attitude

Economic Commentary The Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee met last week and as expected, they did not lower or raise their benchmark interest rate. Despite evidence of a softening of the economic climate, they choose to sit back and wait to see what the effects will be as certain new policies are implemented by the Administration. There certainly has been...” Read More

Posted by starwest

March 18, 2025 – Can Tariffs Lower Interest Rates?

Economic Commentary Thus far, we have just heard about the fact that the implementation of tariffs will increase prices. Another term for higher prices is the dreaded word inflation. And we all know what increased inflation brings to the table – higher interest rates. Gulp. The Federal Reserve is much less likely to lower interest rates in light of increased...” Read More

Posted by starwest

March 11, 2025 – Will Government Layoffs Affect the Job Market?

Economic Commentary The Administration has put their plans in place to eliminate tens of thousands of Federal employees. As the February jobs report was just released last week, we must start to ponder if these layoffs will affect the overall jobs market. If the private sector is strong enough, those unemployed could be absorbed into corporate positions. On the other...” Read More

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March 4, 2025 – Interesting Employment Data on Tap

Economic Commentary Yes, the jobs report is always an important piece of economic data. But sometimes one particular report can be especially significant in the overall scheme of things. So, why would February’s report to be released this Friday have a higher level of consequence as opposed to the previous two reports? There are two reasons for highlighting this specific...” Read More

Posted by starwest

February 25, 2025 – The Fate of the CFPB

Economic Commentary The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau was created by the Dodd-Frank Act in the wake of the financial crisis which spawned the Great Recession of 2008. Unlike the pandemic-induced recession of 2020, the recovery of the economy from the Great Recession was long and painful, especially within the real estate industry which is this commentary’s main focus. Housing prices...” Read More

Posted by starwest

February 18, 2025 – Getting Used to Higher Rates

Economic Commentary There is no doubt about the fact that higher interest rates are putting a cap on potential growth in the real estate market. Together with high housing prices, affordability has certainly been a major factor within the sector for a few years now. While you can understand market analysts and participants in the industry rooting for interest rates...” Read More

Posted by starwest

February 11, 2025 – A Big Ho-Hum?

Economic Commentary By all rights, we should have seen extreme market volatility during the past several weeks. After all, we have a new President implementing many new initiatives – from back to the office for federal employees to a constant threat of tariffs toward various countries. Yet, the stock and bond markets have been relatively quiet during this implementation period. ...” Read More

Posted by starwest

February 4, 2025 – 2025’s First Big Data and Event

Economic Commentary The economic new year is now rolling along. While the markets await the anticipated results of the new Administration’s policies, the economy does not wait for anyone. Last week was the first big economic event of the year – a meeting of the Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee. Most were predicting a pause by the Fed after lowering...” Read More

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