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1818 E. Southern Ave, Suite 15C
Mesa, AZ 85204
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NMLS 164496 Arizona MB
0905975 Utah 5941296-NMLC
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July 9, 2024 – First Part of The “Two-Fer”

Economic Commentary In the previous commentary, we promised a chance at a “two-fer” which could help put pressure on interest rates to ease down in the second half of the year. We have already had a decent move downward in interest rates, but there is so much more work to be done in this regard. On Friday we had the...” Read More

Posted by starwest

June 25, 2024 – Is the Fed Over-Communicating?

Economic Commentary The Federal Reserve Board has always been very careful regarding making public statements that will affect the markets. As a matter of fact, in years past the Fed was much more clandestine regarding their opinions to avoid roiling investors. So much so that there were complaints about the Fed not being open enough about what they were up...” Read More

Posted by starwest

June 18, 2024 – The Fed and Inflation

Economic Commentary Last week we had a meeting of the Federal Reserve Board’s Open Market Committee and the release of the latest inflation data. Curious about the direction of interest rates? These two events represent bellwethers in this regard. We are looking to the Fed for signals as to when they might take their foot off the high interest rate...” Read More

Posted by starwest

June 11, 2024 – Another Trifecta

Economic Commentary As we pointed out last week, this is a very busy period for consequential economic news. First, we had the jobs report this past Friday. This report took on additional importance after we finally had more moderate jobs growth in April. So how did we do in May? The economy created 277,000 jobs, which was more than expected....” Read More

Posted by starwest

June 4, 2024 – Is Two Months a Trend?

Economic Commentary The Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets again next week. Some months ago, market analysts were 50/50 on a bet regarding a decrease in short-term rates at the Fed’s June meeting. Then came some very strong jobs reports and also some stronger-than-expected inflation news, causing the odds to drop below 25%. There have been plenty of statements...” Read More

Posted by starwest

May 28, 2024 – Summer Already?

Economic Commentary We hope you all had a great Memorial Day weekend. With the weather seemingly getting warmer every year, it seems like summer vibes come earlier every year as well. Of course, we are used to that in the real estate industry because Memorial Day is typically the start of real estate summer. Summer is the time in which...” Read More

Posted by starwest

May 21, 2024 – Music To Our Ears?

Economic Commentary It is hard to admit that we are rooting for poorer economic conditions. Less job growth, lower consumer confidence, slower service sector growth, tepid retail sales and more. But if you are a fan of lower interest rates, that is exactly what we need to see in order to bring inflation down to the point that the Federal...” Read More

Posted by starwest

May 14, 2024 – Higher For Even Longer

Economic Commentary It was just early last year that the markets introduced the concept of higher interest rates for a “longer period of time.” With the economy continuing to grow briskly and inflation coming down, but at a slower pace, there was no reason for the Federal Reserve to rush things. Thus, we pushed off predictions for a rate decrease....” Read More

Posted by starwest

May 7, 2024 – Jobs and the Fed.

Economic Commentary It was a busy week with the jobs report and the meeting of the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee within days of each other. The Fed met first and they surprised nobody by leaving short-term rates where they were, though they announced that they would be selling off less of their holdings monthly. Recent strong economic news and...” Read More

Posted by starwest

April 30, 2024 – More Jobs Than People?

Economic Commentary Every month for the past three years we have been singing the same refrain – the job market is hot. Except there is a limit to the number of jobs that can be created. And not every person qualifies for every job. For example, if there are many job openings for doctors, it is not likely that most...” Read More

Posted by starwest

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