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March 31, 2026 – What a Difference a Month Makes

Economic Commentary Let’s go back to the end of February. After a year of tepid job gains, slow housing growth and higher-than expected interest rates, things were starting to look up. We had a solid month of job growth in January and mortgage rates were moving down enough to entice prospective homebuyers to start shopping again. Plus, those who purchased...” Read More

Posted by starwest

March 24, 2026 – The Fed Has Spoken

Economic Commentary The Federal Reserve met last week and, as we indicated in our last commentary, it appeared to be a whole new ball game. In the past several weeks news has been quite tumultuous, to say the least. First, our country started an all-out assault upon Iran in the Middle East. Considering the circumstances, it is no wonder that...” Read More

Posted by starwest

March 17, 2026 – Are All Bets Off?

Economic Commentary The Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee meets this week. A few weeks ago, market prognosticators were absolutely sure there would be no further movement by the Fed to lower rates again for the foreseeable future. Afterall, we have seen some positive economic news, and it is obvious that the fight against inflation is not finished by any means....” Read More

Posted by starwest

March 10, 2026 – Focus Upon Job Growth, Tariffs & Now War

Economic Commentary The February employment report was released on Friday of last week. For the month of February, the economy lost 92,000 jobs and the unemployment rate rose to 4.4% from 4.3% the previous month. The previous two months of job gains were revised downward by 69,000 jobs. Following a solid month of jobs gains in January and a weak...” Read More

Posted by starwest

March 3, 2026 – Jobs on the Agenda Again

Economic Commentary Unless there is another delay because of the previous government shutdowns, we will see another reading on the employment situation this Friday. In January there was a surprise increase of 130,000 jobs – the first time the economy added over 100,000 jobs in a month since April of last year. While this number is encouraging, we caution reading...” Read More

Posted by starwest

February 24, 2026 – The Inflation Question

Economic Commentary Regardless of whether the Federal Reserve continues to lower their benchmark interest rate, there is no doubt about the fact that interest rates would be lower if inflation were not a continuing concern. In the past few weeks, we have analyzed the questions surrounding the ongoing decrease in the growth of jobs and the effect this trend might...” Read More

Posted by starwest

February 17, 2026 – The Jobs Report – Finally

Economic Commentary Last week’s “delayed” employment report contained the first major data of 2026. The growth of jobs was decidedly weak during the last quarter of 2025. So, how did we do at the onset of the new year? In January the economy produced 130,000 jobs, which was more than expected. The unemployment rate was reported at 4.3% down from...” Read More

Posted by starwest

February 10, 2026 – The Shutdown Strikes Again

Economic Commentary Last week we were supposed to witness the release of the first major release using 2026 data. Unfortunately, the short government shutdown has delayed the release of the January employment report. Hopefully the delayed report will be released this week (estimated Weds), and the shutdown does not bring into question the validity of the numbers as the jobs...” Read More

Posted by starwest

February 3, 2026 – It is Always About Jobs

Economic Commentary After the end of the government shutdown, the economic data has trickled in steadily as the government reports get back on track. We must admit, it has been hard to interpret most of this data. For one, most of the reports have been outdated when they were released. Secondly, the data itself has been questionable because surveys or...” Read More

Posted by starwest

January 27, 2026 – Will The Lagging Jobs Market Sway The Fed?

Economic Commentary The Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee lowered their short-term interest rates three times to close out 2025. Minutes from their last meeting of the year revealed that there was a good amount of back-and-forth regarding their last rate move. Some members were not in favor of lowering rates in December because of a lack of progress on combatting...” Read More

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